It's not who you might think...
As you know by now, I play with the Oilers' metrics in trying to answer questions. This time my questions were: Who are the best offense generating forwards and d-men? And: Who are the best defensive forwards and d-men? I think this can be usefully measured by comparing forwards with each other and with the team. Similarly, I'll compare the d-men with each other and with the team. The metrics I'll be using are Corsi-For (shot attempts taken) for offense and Corsi-Against (shot attempts allowed) for defense.
This kind of analysis answers the questions as follows: (a) Compared to the other forwards (or d-men), when Player A is on the ice, the team generates X more or fewer shot attempts . (b) Compared to the other d-men (or forwards), when Player A is on the ice, the team allows fewer, or more, shot attempts. Statement (a) addresses offense generation and (b) addresses defensive capability. The number is expressed as a +/- that represents Corsi-For and Corsi-Against per 60 minutes. For offense, a plus (+) is good. For defense, a minus (-) is good.
Top Offensive Forwards (Relative to Forwards; Relative to Team)
Pouliot +3.82; +6.42
Draisaitl +3.76; +6.36
Purcell +3.72; +6.32
(All other forwards are negative.)
Top Defensive Forwards
Hall -3.54, -4.83
Perron -3.17, -4.46
Eberle -2.49, -3.78
Top Offensive D-men
Aulie +10.24, +10.59
Petry +3.39, +3.74
Marincin +1.12, +1.47
(Aulie's unusally high number is largely influenced by the Buffalo game. So a problem of small sample size here.)
Top Defensive D-men
Hunt -4.52, -5.17
Schultz -1.78, -2.43
Aulie -1.54, -2.19
Worst Offensive Forward: Arcobello: -3.18, -1.26
Worst Defensive Forward: Pouliot: +6.46, +5.17
Worst Offensive D-man: Nitikin: -5.07, -4.72
Worst Defensive D-man: Marincin: +4.60, +5.25
I'll give an example of how to read these numbers:
Pouliot was our best offensive forward because when compared to everyone else, the team generated 6.42 more shot attempts per 60 minutes. However, Pouliot was also our worst defensive forward. Compared to all his teammates, when Pouliot was on the ice, the team allowed 5.17 more shot attempts.
This may sound paradoxical that he is best offensive and worst defensive forward. I think what this means is that when he's on the ice, there are a tonne more shots happening both ways. His relative Corsi is still positive (+0.91), so his offense generation slightly compensates for his defense weakness.
-Walter Foddis
This kind of analysis answers the questions as follows: (a) Compared to the other forwards (or d-men), when Player A is on the ice, the team generates X more or fewer shot attempts . (b) Compared to the other d-men (or forwards), when Player A is on the ice, the team allows fewer, or more, shot attempts. Statement (a) addresses offense generation and (b) addresses defensive capability. The number is expressed as a +/- that represents Corsi-For and Corsi-Against per 60 minutes. For offense, a plus (+) is good. For defense, a minus (-) is good.
Top Offensive Forwards (Relative to Forwards; Relative to Team)
Pouliot +3.82; +6.42
Draisaitl +3.76; +6.36
Purcell +3.72; +6.32
(All other forwards are negative.)
Top Defensive Forwards
Hall -3.54, -4.83
Perron -3.17, -4.46
Eberle -2.49, -3.78
Top Offensive D-men
Aulie +10.24, +10.59
Petry +3.39, +3.74
Marincin +1.12, +1.47
(Aulie's unusally high number is largely influenced by the Buffalo game. So a problem of small sample size here.)
Top Defensive D-men
Hunt -4.52, -5.17
Schultz -1.78, -2.43
Aulie -1.54, -2.19
Worst Offensive Forward: Arcobello: -3.18, -1.26
Worst Defensive Forward: Pouliot: +6.46, +5.17
Worst Offensive D-man: Nitikin: -5.07, -4.72
Worst Defensive D-man: Marincin: +4.60, +5.25
I'll give an example of how to read these numbers:
Pouliot was our best offensive forward because when compared to everyone else, the team generated 6.42 more shot attempts per 60 minutes. However, Pouliot was also our worst defensive forward. Compared to all his teammates, when Pouliot was on the ice, the team allowed 5.17 more shot attempts.
This may sound paradoxical that he is best offensive and worst defensive forward. I think what this means is that when he's on the ice, there are a tonne more shots happening both ways. His relative Corsi is still positive (+0.91), so his offense generation slightly compensates for his defense weakness.
-Walter Foddis
RSS Feed
