BEER LEAGUE HEROES
  • Home
  • NHL Draft Talk
  • Hockey Analytics with Walt!

Fancy Stats Game Summary - McDavid Bowl!

1/30/2015

0 Comments

 
Walter Foddis has our fancy stats summary for the Oiler/Sabres game on Jan.29th, 2015.
Similar to the Oilers last game vs. Buffalo, the Oil thoroughly dominated the Sabres in possession 5v5: 63 to 34 shot attempts (Corsi). They also out-chanced the Sabres by a slightly more than 2-to-1 margin: 26 to 12 scoring chances.
Picture
Our 4th line looked great out there; Lander getting 3 points (1 G, 2 A) with his first goal in 55 games, along with Fraser getting 3 points (1 G, 2 A). Interesting to see that our marginal-NHL, but successful AHL players were the most productive line. Moreover, it's a rare game that our 4L all earn a positive Corsi: Gazdic +3, Lander +4, & Fraser +5.

Speaking of possession, it was a feeding frenzy for Schultz and Klefbom, who had Corsi +/- scores of +20 & +24, respectively. The word pylon comes to mind. Don't know why.

The top line of Nugent-Hopkins, Pouliot, & Eberle had Corsi +/- scores of +12, +15, & +13. Surprisingly, Ference and Petry only had +1 each. Checking who they played against, the forward line of Gionta-Flynn-Mitchell did much of the damage to their Corsi.

Visually (a word that may never die in the Oilers' lexicon) Scrivens made some pretty good stops to keep the Oil in the game. At 12 scoring chances against, he was not tested often. He finished with a 89.5% save% 5v5, which is bad, but with the Oilers suppressing shots quite well tonight (or perhaps it's because the Oilers has the puck in the o-zone so often), Scrivens did a good enough job to earn the win.

Compared to Eakins, Nelson has had better PDO-luck (see the upward trending line in January) on his side, in terms of both a better save% and shooting%. But the way I see it, the Oilers were statistically due to win more games. The time for this miraculous process called regression to the mean just happens to be in January.

Edmonton Oilers PDO: 10-Game Moving Average
Picture
Next game is Calgary on Saturday (Jan. 31/15). Again, I'd like to see a strong possession (Calgary is a weaker possession team) and a win.

Data courtesy of war-on-ice.com & hockeystats.ca.

Thanks for reading. Any questions or comments, please drop me a line.

- Walter

PS - If you want to follow me on Twitter @Waltlaw69. In the next few weeks, I'll be posting results and links from some interesting hockey analytics projects I've undertaken. One involves a thorough analytical breakdown and ranking of defensemen. In the other, I get down and dirty to assess the impact of Quality of Competition and Quality of Teammates on certain players, in particular, Corsi superstars. Is Bergeron the best possession player in the NHL as his Corsi differential and dCorsi Impact score suggests? Stay tuned to hear the answers to this and other questions.
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Edmonton Oilers Corsi Contribution & Shot Attempt Generation Efficiency - 2014/15

    Walt's NHL Power Rankings - 2014/15

    Archives

    April 2015
    March 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014
    August 2014

    Categories

    All
    Advanced Stats
    Analytics Of A Trade
    Anze Kopitar
    Arizone Coyotes
    Beer League Heroes
    Buffalo Sabres
    Connor McDavid
    Corsi
    Dallas Eakins
    David Backes
    David Perron
    Derek Roy
    Devan Dubnyk
    Edmonton Oilers
    Fancy Stats
    Fancy Stats Rankings
    Fancy Stats Summary
    Game Summary
    Joe Thornton
    John Tavares
    Jonathan Toews
    Marc Arcobello
    Mark Fraser
    Minnesota Wild
    Nail Yakupov
    New York Islanders
    NHL
    NHL Power Rankings
    Patrice Bergeron
    PDO
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Playoff Series Breakdown
    Rob Klinkhammer
    Selke Trophy
    St.Louis Blues
    Todd Nelson
    Trades
    Travis Zajac
    Walter Foddis

    RSS Feed

Powered by Create your own unique website with customizable templates.