Walter Foddis has our fancy stats summary for the Oiler/Sabres game on Jan.29th, 2015.
Similar to the Oilers last game vs. Buffalo, the Oil thoroughly dominated the Sabres in possession 5v5: 63 to 34 shot attempts (Corsi). They also out-chanced the Sabres by a slightly more than 2-to-1 margin: 26 to 12 scoring chances.
Our 4th line looked great out there; Lander getting 3 points (1 G, 2 A) with his first goal in 55 games, along with Fraser getting 3 points (1 G, 2 A). Interesting to see that our marginal-NHL, but successful AHL players were the most productive line. Moreover, it's a rare game that our 4L all earn a positive Corsi: Gazdic +3, Lander +4, & Fraser +5.
Speaking of possession, it was a feeding frenzy for Schultz and Klefbom, who had Corsi +/- scores of +20 & +24, respectively. The word pylon comes to mind. Don't know why.
The top line of Nugent-Hopkins, Pouliot, & Eberle had Corsi +/- scores of +12, +15, & +13. Surprisingly, Ference and Petry only had +1 each. Checking who they played against, the forward line of Gionta-Flynn-Mitchell did much of the damage to their Corsi.
Visually (a word that may never die in the Oilers' lexicon) Scrivens made some pretty good stops to keep the Oil in the game. At 12 scoring chances against, he was not tested often. He finished with a 89.5% save% 5v5, which is bad, but with the Oilers suppressing shots quite well tonight (or perhaps it's because the Oilers has the puck in the o-zone so often), Scrivens did a good enough job to earn the win.
Compared to Eakins, Nelson has had better PDO-luck (see the upward trending line in January) on his side, in terms of both a better save% and shooting%. But the way I see it, the Oilers were statistically due to win more games. The time for this miraculous process called regression to the mean just happens to be in January.
Speaking of possession, it was a feeding frenzy for Schultz and Klefbom, who had Corsi +/- scores of +20 & +24, respectively. The word pylon comes to mind. Don't know why.
The top line of Nugent-Hopkins, Pouliot, & Eberle had Corsi +/- scores of +12, +15, & +13. Surprisingly, Ference and Petry only had +1 each. Checking who they played against, the forward line of Gionta-Flynn-Mitchell did much of the damage to their Corsi.
Visually (a word that may never die in the Oilers' lexicon) Scrivens made some pretty good stops to keep the Oil in the game. At 12 scoring chances against, he was not tested often. He finished with a 89.5% save% 5v5, which is bad, but with the Oilers suppressing shots quite well tonight (or perhaps it's because the Oilers has the puck in the o-zone so often), Scrivens did a good enough job to earn the win.
Compared to Eakins, Nelson has had better PDO-luck (see the upward trending line in January) on his side, in terms of both a better save% and shooting%. But the way I see it, the Oilers were statistically due to win more games. The time for this miraculous process called regression to the mean just happens to be in January.
Edmonton Oilers PDO: 10-Game Moving Average
Next game is Calgary on Saturday (Jan. 31/15). Again, I'd like to see a strong possession (Calgary is a weaker possession team) and a win.
Data courtesy of war-on-ice.com & hockeystats.ca.
Thanks for reading. Any questions or comments, please drop me a line.
- Walter
PS - If you want to follow me on Twitter @Waltlaw69. In the next few weeks, I'll be posting results and links from some interesting hockey analytics projects I've undertaken. One involves a thorough analytical breakdown and ranking of defensemen. In the other, I get down and dirty to assess the impact of Quality of Competition and Quality of Teammates on certain players, in particular, Corsi superstars. Is Bergeron the best possession player in the NHL as his Corsi differential and dCorsi Impact score suggests? Stay tuned to hear the answers to this and other questions.
Data courtesy of war-on-ice.com & hockeystats.ca.
Thanks for reading. Any questions or comments, please drop me a line.
- Walter
PS - If you want to follow me on Twitter @Waltlaw69. In the next few weeks, I'll be posting results and links from some interesting hockey analytics projects I've undertaken. One involves a thorough analytical breakdown and ranking of defensemen. In the other, I get down and dirty to assess the impact of Quality of Competition and Quality of Teammates on certain players, in particular, Corsi superstars. Is Bergeron the best possession player in the NHL as his Corsi differential and dCorsi Impact score suggests? Stay tuned to hear the answers to this and other questions.
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